1.0
FUTURISTIC VISIONS- circa 2020
By
about 2020 technology will have drastically changed the way people lead and manage. Bookshops may give way to selling books
on line and printer may not be needed. Robots will design and construct buildings. Many employees will work at home. Information
will be so readily available to the common people that government and business will be completely transparent. Communication
will have become so easy that the world will for the first time become a real global village
2.0
FUTUROLOGY
The
study of futurology is now very important for leaders. Futurology studies try to predict changes that will occur based on
current trends. Methods of futurology are scenario writing, model building, and extrapolation. There are several active institutions
of futurology in the US: 2000 Committee at the Hudson Institute, in the UK Mankind 2000, in France Futuriste, and
the Muslim Institute of Future Studies in London
3.0
ISLAMIC FUTUROLOGY
Islam
is in the future. The Islamic ideals are still way ahead and out of immediate reach for most individuals and communities.
Islam calls humanity to come and catch up. Working towards the future is moving towards Islam.
Only
God knows the unseen with certainty; humans only guess the future. The Islamic attitude to the future is positive. We study
and face the future from a perspective of faith. In the final analysis the righteous shall inherit the earth.
4.0
THE CHANGING AND THE STABLE
The
basic natural laws do not change. Basic attributes of humans do not change. However there is continuous changes in technology
and its applications. There are changes in social organixation. There are also changes in ideology. The ecosystem changes
constantly. Culture also changes.
5.0
THE CYCLE OF CIVILIZATIONS
Each
civilization has a fixed lifespan. Many factors contribute to the rise and fall of civilisations. Ancient civilisations of
Egypt, Babylon, Greece,
Rome, and Persia
collapsed. The British Empire over which the sun could not set collapsed. The US is the current superpower; a time will come and it also
collapses. Future leaders must understand the causes of the rise and fall of civilisations
6.0
CHANGING LEADERSHIP ENVIRONMENT
Many
changes will occur in the future leadership environment. There will be lowering of many barriers: information, political and
military, cultural and language, distance, and time. Computer technology will support advanced and effective artificial intelligence,
expert systems, and decision support systems. The workforce will also change in many ways: scarcity of skills, independent-minded,
desire for more satisfaction from work, little loyalty to organisation, attitude of disrespect for authority, a hedonistic
lifestyle (pleasure; no pain). The economic system will change due to several factors: a well informed consumer; competition
among producers based on creativity in quality of products and efficiency of service; while political / economic spheres will
no longer be relevant. The ecosystem degradation will be a concern about the future of life on earth
7.0
CHANGING LEADERSHIP STYLES
1895
1945
1995
2020
directing
100%
75%
50%
10%
coaching
5% 50%
75%
95%
supporting
0%
10%
50%
90%
delegating
10%
40%
75%
90%
NB:
The percentages are estimates to illustrate changing trends
8.0
CHANGING LEADERSHIP FUNCTIONS AS A RESULT OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
1895
1945
1995
2020
Decision-making
90% 90% 50% 10%
Problem-solving
90% 90% 50% 10%
Strategy
and planning
5% 40%
75%
95%
Organizing
80% 50% 40% 10%
Controlling
100%
75%
50%
10%
Evaluation
10% 40% 60% 90%
Communication
10%
40%
70%
90%
Negotiation
10%
50%
80%
95%
Co-ordination
5%
30%
50%
80%
Coaching/training
10% 40% 75% 80%
Motivation
5% 30%
50%
80%
9.0
CHANGING MANAGEMENT STYLE
1895
1945
1995
2020
Authoritative
100%
75%
50%
20%
Participative
0%
40%
70%
95%
10.0
THE HUMAN DIMENSION WILL BECOME MORE IMPORTANT
- People vs machines & systems
- Motivation and getting the best out of the worker
- Importance of the individual 80:1-10, 17:70
11.0
CREATIVITY WILL BE THE CRITERION OF BEST LEADERSHIP
- Creativity is the essence of civilizational change (creativity vs fossilization)
- Creativity is looking at issues from different and new perspectives
- Creative thinking is: divergent, lateral, imaginative
- The creative mind is: free un-inhibited, exploratory, prepared
- The creative personality is: dynamic, non-conformist, autonomous
- Creativity is both rational & intuitive
- Qur’anic encourages creativity and condemns blind following
12.0
THE KNOWLEDGE DIMENSION
- Depth & understanding and not only knowing
- Raw data intelligence knowledge wisdom
- Euro-centric paradigms of knowledge are failing
- New paradigms of knowledge: islamisation
- Objectivity of knowledge (al istiqamat)
- Understanding human nature
13.0
THE CULTURAL DIMENSION
Different
communities/societies ?merging into one community?
Different
languages and colors ? merging into one race?
Technology:
transfer vs creation
Global
village vs multi-culturalism
New
cultural paradigms
The
English language: success and failure
